Mirae Asset Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

200130 Stock   13,080  20.00  0.15%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mirae Asset No2 on the next trading day is expected to be 13,057 with a mean absolute deviation of 227.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13,665. Mirae Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mirae Asset stock prices and determine the direction of Mirae Asset No2's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mirae Asset's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Mirae Asset - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Mirae Asset prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Mirae Asset price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Mirae Asset No2.

Mirae Asset Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mirae Asset No2 on the next trading day is expected to be 13,057 with a mean absolute deviation of 227.74, mean absolute percentage error of 106,264, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13,665.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mirae Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mirae Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mirae Asset Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mirae Asset Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mirae Asset's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mirae Asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13,055 and 13,060, respectively. We have considered Mirae Asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13,080
13,055
Downside
13,057
Expected Value
13,060
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mirae Asset stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mirae Asset stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -53.6873
MADMean absolute deviation227.7436
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0163
SAESum of the absolute errors13664.618
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Mirae Asset observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Mirae Asset No2 observations.

Predictive Modules for Mirae Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mirae Asset No2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,07813,08013,082
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,84611,84814,388
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mirae Asset. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mirae Asset's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mirae Asset's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mirae Asset No2.

Other Forecasting Options for Mirae Asset

For every potential investor in Mirae, whether a beginner or expert, Mirae Asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mirae Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mirae. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mirae Asset's price trends.

Mirae Asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mirae Asset stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mirae Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mirae Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mirae Asset No2 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mirae Asset's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mirae Asset's current price.

Mirae Asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mirae Asset stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mirae Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mirae Asset stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mirae Asset No2 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mirae Asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mirae Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mirae Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mirae stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Mirae Stock

Mirae Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mirae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mirae with respect to the benefits of owning Mirae Asset security.