Sanlam Global Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

0P0001PGKH   378.59  1.11  0.29%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sanlam Global Artificial on the next trading day is expected to be 379.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.92. Sanlam Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Sanlam Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sanlam Global Artificial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sanlam Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sanlam Global Artificial on the next trading day is expected to be 379.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36, mean absolute percentage error of 19.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sanlam Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sanlam Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sanlam Global Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sanlam GlobalSanlam Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sanlam Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sanlam Global's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sanlam Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 378.13 and 380.07, respectively. We have considered Sanlam Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
378.59
378.13
Downside
379.10
Expected Value
380.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sanlam Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sanlam Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.0587
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.3593
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors204.9167
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sanlam Global Artificial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sanlam Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sanlam Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanlam Global Artificial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
377.61378.59379.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
340.73408.48409.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
376.92385.39393.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sanlam Global

For every potential investor in Sanlam, whether a beginner or expert, Sanlam Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sanlam Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sanlam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sanlam Global's price trends.

Sanlam Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sanlam Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sanlam Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sanlam Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sanlam Global Artificial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sanlam Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sanlam Global's current price.

Sanlam Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sanlam Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sanlam Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sanlam Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Sanlam Global Artificial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sanlam Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sanlam Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sanlam Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sanlam fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sanlam Fund

Sanlam Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sanlam Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sanlam with respect to the benefits of owning Sanlam Global security.
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