CSIF I Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| 0P0000A2DS | 673.79 0.00 0.00% |
CSIF |
CSIF I Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of CSIF I Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 670.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87, mean absolute percentage error of 5.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSIF Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CSIF I's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CSIF I Fund Forecast Pattern
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CSIF I fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CSIF I fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8204 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8668 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0028 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.8736 |
Predictive Modules for CSIF I
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSIF I Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CSIF I Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CSIF I fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CSIF I could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSIF I by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CSIF I Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CSIF I fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CSIF I shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CSIF I fund market strength indicators, traders can identify CSIF I Bond entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 673.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 673.79 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.37 |
CSIF I Risk Indicators
The analysis of CSIF I's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CSIF I's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting csif fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2176 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1997 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2916 | |||
| Variance | 0.085 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0744 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0399 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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