Mawer Equity Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Mawer Equity - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Mawer Equity prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Mawer Equity price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Mawer Equity A. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Mawer Equity observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Mawer Equity A observations.

Predictive Modules for Mawer Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawer Equity A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 102.28 102.99 103.70 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 100.32 101.03 113.29 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 100.05 102.35 104.65 Details

Mawer Equity Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Pair Trading with Mawer Equity

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mawer Equity position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mawer Equity will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Other Information on Investing in Mawer Fund