Naranja Standard Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for Naranja Standard Poors is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Naranja Standard 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Naranja Standard Poors on the next trading day is expected to be 136.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 3.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.88.

Naranja Standard Fund Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Naranja Standard fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Naranja Standard fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Naranja Standard. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Naranja Standard Poors and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Naranja Standard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naranja Standard Poors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Naranja Standard Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Naranja Standard Market Strength Events

Naranja Standard Risk Indicators

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