EBEST Investment Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

078020 Stock  KRW 3,955  145.00  3.54%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EBEST Investment Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 3,955 with a mean absolute deviation of 42.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,575. EBEST Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast EBEST Investment stock prices and determine the direction of EBEST Investment Securities's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EBEST Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
EBEST Investment simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for EBEST Investment Securities are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as EBEST Investment Sec prices get older.

EBEST Investment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EBEST Investment Securities on the next trading day is expected to be 3,955 with a mean absolute deviation of 42.92, mean absolute percentage error of 3,560, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,575.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EBEST Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EBEST Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EBEST Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EBEST InvestmentEBEST Investment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

EBEST Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EBEST Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EBEST Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,954 and 3,956, respectively. We have considered EBEST Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,955
3,955
Expected Value
3,956
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EBEST Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EBEST Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.4503
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 12.4167
MADMean absolute deviation42.9167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors2575.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting EBEST Investment Securities forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent EBEST Investment observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for EBEST Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EBEST Investment Sec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9543,9553,956
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,6773,6784,350
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
3,9374,0894,241
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EBEST Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EBEST Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EBEST Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EBEST Investment Sec.

Other Forecasting Options for EBEST Investment

For every potential investor in EBEST, whether a beginner or expert, EBEST Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EBEST Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EBEST. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EBEST Investment's price trends.

EBEST Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EBEST Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EBEST Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EBEST Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EBEST Investment Sec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EBEST Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EBEST Investment's current price.

EBEST Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EBEST Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EBEST Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EBEST Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EBEST Investment Securities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EBEST Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of EBEST Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EBEST Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ebest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with EBEST Investment

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EBEST Investment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EBEST Investment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with EBEST Stock

  0.83005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr

Moving against EBEST Stock

  0.6105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
  0.6032830 Samsung LifePairCorr
  0.57024110 Industrial BankPairCorr
  0.39316140 Woori Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to EBEST Investment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace EBEST Investment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back EBEST Investment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling EBEST Investment Securities to buy it.
The correlation of EBEST Investment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as EBEST Investment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if EBEST Investment Sec moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EBEST Investment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in EBEST Stock

EBEST Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether EBEST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EBEST with respect to the benefits of owning EBEST Investment security.