Insung Information Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

033230 Stock  KRW 1,890  58.00  2.98%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Insung Information Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1,942 with a mean absolute deviation of 48.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,934. Insung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Insung Information stock prices and determine the direction of Insung Information Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Insung Information's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Insung Information is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Insung Information Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Insung Information Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Insung Information Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1,942 with a mean absolute deviation of 48.09, mean absolute percentage error of 3,622, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,934.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Insung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Insung Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Insung Information Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Insung InformationInsung Information Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Insung Information Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Insung Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Insung Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,940 and 1,944, respectively. We have considered Insung Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,890
1,942
Expected Value
1,944
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Insung Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Insung Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.3053
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation48.0912
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.023
SAESum of the absolute errors2933.5622
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Insung Information Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Insung Information. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Insung Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insung Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,8881,8901,892
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7012,0742,077
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,8561,9091,962
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Insung Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Insung Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Insung Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Insung Information.

Other Forecasting Options for Insung Information

For every potential investor in Insung, whether a beginner or expert, Insung Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Insung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Insung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Insung Information's price trends.

Insung Information Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Insung Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Insung Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Insung Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Insung Information Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Insung Information's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Insung Information's current price.

Insung Information Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Insung Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Insung Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Insung Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Insung Information Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Insung Information Risk Indicators

The analysis of Insung Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Insung Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting insung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Insung Information

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Insung Information position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Insung Information will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Insung Stock

  0.83254120 XavisPairCorr
  0.87353190 HurumPairCorr
  0.81034830 Korea Real EstatePairCorr
  0.68030350 Dragonfly GF SplitPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Insung Information could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Insung Information when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Insung Information - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Insung Information Co to buy it.
The correlation of Insung Information is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Insung Information moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Insung Information moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Insung Information can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Insung Stock

Insung Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Insung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Insung with respect to the benefits of owning Insung Information security.