Samsung CT Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

028260 Stock   119,000  5,600  4.49%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Samsung CT Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 125,516 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,094 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188,757. Samsung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Samsung CT stock prices and determine the direction of Samsung CT Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Samsung CT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Samsung CT is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Samsung CT Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Samsung CT Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Samsung CT Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 125,516 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,094, mean absolute percentage error of 13,036,614, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188,757.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samsung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samsung CT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Samsung CT Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Samsung CTSamsung CT Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Samsung CT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Samsung CT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Samsung CT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 125,514 and 125,519, respectively. We have considered Samsung CT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
119,000
125,514
Downside
125,516
Expected Value
125,519
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samsung CT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samsung CT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria134.4938
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3094.3805
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0236
SAESum of the absolute errors188757.2083
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Samsung CT Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Samsung CT. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Samsung CT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung CT Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
118,998119,000119,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
106,804106,806130,900
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
118,259122,320126,381
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samsung CT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samsung CT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samsung CT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samsung CT Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Samsung CT

For every potential investor in Samsung, whether a beginner or expert, Samsung CT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Samsung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Samsung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Samsung CT's price trends.

Samsung CT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Samsung CT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Samsung CT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Samsung CT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Samsung CT Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Samsung CT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Samsung CT's current price.

Samsung CT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Samsung CT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Samsung CT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Samsung CT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Samsung CT Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Samsung CT Risk Indicators

The analysis of Samsung CT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Samsung CT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting samsung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Samsung CT

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Samsung CT position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Samsung CT will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Samsung Stock

  0.86005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr

Moving against Samsung Stock

  0.67105560 KB Financial GroupPairCorr
  0.67024110 Industrial BankPairCorr
  0.6032830 Samsung LifePairCorr
  0.4316140 Woori Financial GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Samsung CT could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Samsung CT when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Samsung CT - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Samsung CT Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Samsung CT is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Samsung CT moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Samsung CT Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Samsung CT can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Samsung Stock

Samsung CT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samsung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samsung with respect to the benefits of owning Samsung CT security.