Cathay Sustainability Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

00878 Etf  TWD 22.25  0.08  0.36%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cathay Sustainability High on the next trading day is expected to be 22.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.61. Cathay Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Cathay Sustainability High is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Cathay Sustainability 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Cathay Sustainability High on the next trading day is expected to be 22.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cathay Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cathay Sustainability's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cathay Sustainability Etf Forecast Pattern

Cathay Sustainability Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cathay Sustainability's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cathay Sustainability's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.39 and 23.12, respectively. We have considered Cathay Sustainability's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.25
22.26
Expected Value
23.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cathay Sustainability etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cathay Sustainability etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.7364
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0146
MADMean absolute deviation0.1861
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors10.61
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Cathay Sustainability. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Cathay Sustainability High and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Cathay Sustainability

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cathay Sustainability. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3022.1723.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8821.7522.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.8522.3222.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cathay Sustainability. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cathay Sustainability's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cathay Sustainability's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cathay Sustainability.

Other Forecasting Options for Cathay Sustainability

For every potential investor in Cathay, whether a beginner or expert, Cathay Sustainability's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cathay Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cathay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cathay Sustainability's price trends.

Cathay Sustainability Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cathay Sustainability etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cathay Sustainability could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cathay Sustainability by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cathay Sustainability Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cathay Sustainability's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cathay Sustainability's current price.

Cathay Sustainability Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cathay Sustainability etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cathay Sustainability shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cathay Sustainability etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Cathay Sustainability High entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cathay Sustainability Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cathay Sustainability's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cathay Sustainability's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cathay etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Cathay Etf

Cathay Sustainability financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cathay Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cathay with respect to the benefits of owning Cathay Sustainability security.