Kukdo Chemical Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

007690 Stock   29,400  600.00  2.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kukdo Chemical Co on the next trading day is expected to be 29,319 with a mean absolute deviation of 452.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27,134. Kukdo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kukdo Chemical stock prices and determine the direction of Kukdo Chemical Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kukdo Chemical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Kukdo Chemical - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Kukdo Chemical prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Kukdo Chemical price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Kukdo Chemical.

Kukdo Chemical Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kukdo Chemical Co on the next trading day is expected to be 29,319 with a mean absolute deviation of 452.23, mean absolute percentage error of 347,115, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27,134.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kukdo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kukdo Chemical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kukdo Chemical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kukdo ChemicalKukdo Chemical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kukdo Chemical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kukdo Chemical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kukdo Chemical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29,317 and 29,320, respectively. We have considered Kukdo Chemical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29,400
29,317
Downside
29,319
Expected Value
29,320
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kukdo Chemical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kukdo Chemical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 96.9982
MADMean absolute deviation452.2269
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.014
SAESum of the absolute errors27133.6162
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Kukdo Chemical observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Kukdo Chemical Co observations.

Predictive Modules for Kukdo Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kukdo Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29,39829,40029,402
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25,86025,86232,340
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29,55730,03530,513
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kukdo Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kukdo Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kukdo Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kukdo Chemical.

Other Forecasting Options for Kukdo Chemical

For every potential investor in Kukdo, whether a beginner or expert, Kukdo Chemical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kukdo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kukdo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kukdo Chemical's price trends.

Kukdo Chemical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kukdo Chemical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kukdo Chemical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kukdo Chemical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kukdo Chemical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kukdo Chemical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kukdo Chemical's current price.

Kukdo Chemical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kukdo Chemical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kukdo Chemical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kukdo Chemical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kukdo Chemical Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kukdo Chemical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kukdo Chemical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kukdo Chemical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kukdo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Kukdo Chemical

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kukdo Chemical position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kukdo Chemical will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Kukdo Stock

  0.69293780 AptaBio TherapeuticsPairCorr
  0.81215480 Daewoo SBI SPACPairCorr
  0.73302430 InnometryPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kukdo Chemical could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kukdo Chemical when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kukdo Chemical - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kukdo Chemical Co to buy it.
The correlation of Kukdo Chemical is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kukdo Chemical moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kukdo Chemical moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kukdo Chemical can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Kukdo Stock

Kukdo Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kukdo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kukdo with respect to the benefits of owning Kukdo Chemical security.