Taekwang Ind Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

003240 Stock   628,000  1,000.00  0.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Taekwang Ind on the next trading day is expected to be 628,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 7,820 and the sum of the absolute errors of 477,000. Taekwang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Taekwang Ind stock prices and determine the direction of Taekwang Ind's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Taekwang Ind's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Taekwang Ind simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Taekwang Ind are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Taekwang Ind prices get older.

Taekwang Ind Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Taekwang Ind on the next trading day is expected to be 628,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 7,820, mean absolute percentage error of 132,934,426, and the sum of the absolute errors of 477,000.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taekwang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taekwang Ind's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Taekwang Ind Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Taekwang IndTaekwang Ind Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Taekwang Ind Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Taekwang Ind's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taekwang Ind's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 627,998 and 628,002, respectively. We have considered Taekwang Ind's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
628,000
627,998
Downside
628,000
Expected Value
628,002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taekwang Ind stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taekwang Ind stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria136.8159
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -704.918
MADMean absolute deviation7819.6721
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0123
SAESum of the absolute errors477000.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Taekwang Ind forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Taekwang Ind observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Taekwang Ind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taekwang Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
627,998628,000628,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
526,048526,050690,800
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
614,069648,083682,098
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Taekwang Ind. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Taekwang Ind's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Taekwang Ind's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Taekwang Ind.

Other Forecasting Options for Taekwang Ind

For every potential investor in Taekwang, whether a beginner or expert, Taekwang Ind's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taekwang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taekwang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taekwang Ind's price trends.

Taekwang Ind Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taekwang Ind stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taekwang Ind could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taekwang Ind by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Taekwang Ind Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Taekwang Ind's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Taekwang Ind's current price.

Taekwang Ind Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taekwang Ind stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taekwang Ind shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taekwang Ind stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taekwang Ind entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Taekwang Ind Risk Indicators

The analysis of Taekwang Ind's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taekwang Ind's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taekwang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Taekwang Ind

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Taekwang Ind position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Taekwang Ind will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Taekwang Stock

  0.76005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.75005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.5009830 Hanwha SolutionsPairCorr
  0.36005380 Hyundai MotorPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Taekwang Ind could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Taekwang Ind when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Taekwang Ind - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Taekwang Ind to buy it.
The correlation of Taekwang Ind is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Taekwang Ind moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Taekwang Ind moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Taekwang Ind can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Taekwang Stock

Taekwang Ind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Taekwang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Taekwang with respect to the benefits of owning Taekwang Ind security.