SeAH Bestee Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

001430 Stock   21,900  100.00  0.45%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SeAH Bestee on the next trading day is expected to be 21,840 with a mean absolute deviation of 450.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27,050. SeAH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SeAH Bestee stock prices and determine the direction of SeAH Bestee's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SeAH Bestee's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for SeAH Bestee - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When SeAH Bestee prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in SeAH Bestee price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of SeAH Bestee.

SeAH Bestee Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SeAH Bestee on the next trading day is expected to be 21,840 with a mean absolute deviation of 450.83, mean absolute percentage error of 556,955, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27,050.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SeAH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SeAH Bestee's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SeAH Bestee Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SeAH BesteeSeAH Bestee Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SeAH Bestee Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SeAH Bestee's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SeAH Bestee's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21,836 and 21,844, respectively. We have considered SeAH Bestee's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21,900
21,836
Downside
21,840
Expected Value
21,844
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SeAH Bestee stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SeAH Bestee stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -96.5
MADMean absolute deviation450.8333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors27050.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past SeAH Bestee observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older SeAH Bestee observations.

Predictive Modules for SeAH Bestee

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SeAH Bestee. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,89621,90021,904
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21,56321,56724,090
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18,21021,73125,252
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SeAH Bestee. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SeAH Bestee's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SeAH Bestee's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SeAH Bestee.

Other Forecasting Options for SeAH Bestee

For every potential investor in SeAH, whether a beginner or expert, SeAH Bestee's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SeAH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SeAH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SeAH Bestee's price trends.

SeAH Bestee Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SeAH Bestee stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SeAH Bestee could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SeAH Bestee by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SeAH Bestee Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SeAH Bestee's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SeAH Bestee's current price.

SeAH Bestee Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SeAH Bestee stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SeAH Bestee shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SeAH Bestee stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SeAH Bestee entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SeAH Bestee Risk Indicators

The analysis of SeAH Bestee's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SeAH Bestee's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seah stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with SeAH Bestee

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if SeAH Bestee position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SeAH Bestee will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against SeAH Stock

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  0.57005490 POSCO HoldingsPairCorr
  0.55004020 Hyundai SteelPairCorr
  0.54001230 Dongkuk Steel MillPairCorr
  0.54005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to SeAH Bestee could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace SeAH Bestee when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back SeAH Bestee - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling SeAH Bestee to buy it.
The correlation of SeAH Bestee is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as SeAH Bestee moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if SeAH Bestee moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for SeAH Bestee can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in SeAH Stock

SeAH Bestee financial ratios help investors to determine whether SeAH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SeAH with respect to the benefits of owning SeAH Bestee security.